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In today's big story, inflation is cooling just in time for a US presidential election that will likely focus heavily on the economy . This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. The big storyThe economy and the electionAnna Moneymaker/Getty, Anna Moneymaker/Getty, Tyler Le/BISometimes, the biggest surprise is when there isn't one at all. AdvertisementOn Wednesday, Biden and Trump agreed to face off in two debates, the first coming in June . Now he has 18 direct reports, according to an internal org chart seen by Business Insider.
Persons: , Anna Moneymaker, Tyler Le, haven't, Insider's Madison Hoff, they're, Jennifer Sor, Ed Yardeni, Jerome Powell hasn't, Powell, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Trump, Biden, Trump's, Alyssa Powell, Keith Gill's, Jim Simons, Shaw, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Sameer Samat, Sundar Pichai, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Service, Business, Biden, White, Democratic, Renaissance Technologies, Sigma, Bloomberg, Android, Google, Microsoft, Apple, Walmart Locations: New York, London
Read previewInflation and interest rates are still high, but Americans shouldn't count on any relief just yet. Advertisement"The status of the battle against inflation requires that interest rates remain elevated in the near-term," Hamrick said. "The first quarter in the United States was notable for its lack of further progress on inflation," Powell said during the panel. But while job seekers and workers may find this cooldown concerning, that moderation is also welcome and the labor market is still strong. "Paired with high borrowing costs — like high interest rates on your credit cards — and the current economy can feel quite uncomfortable," Renter added.
Persons: , That's, Mark Hamrick, Hamrick, Jerome Powell, Powell, Joanne Hsu, Nick Bunker, Ted Rossman, Rossman, Elizabeth Renter, Renter, it's Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI, Business, Federal, University of Michigan, North America Locations: Amsterdam, United States,
The Consumer Price Index increased 3.4% year over year in April, just below March's rise of 3.5%. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementInflation in the US is still above 3%, new Consumer Price Index data released on Wednesday suggested, but cooled off slightly in April. The Consumer Price Index or CPI, an inflation measure, climbed 3.4% from April 2023 to this past April. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: Organizations: Service, Index, Business Locations: Investing.com
Texas is seeing a strong labor market, with record-high employment figures. Business Insider looked at Bureau of Labor Statistics data to check out how pay looks in Texas. Texas' best-paying jobs are athletes and sports competitors, but around two dozen jobs pay over $175,000 on average. March data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows the state has a record-high number of people in the labor force and a record-high number of jobs. Starting in June 2023, the unemployment rate in Texas has consistently been 3.9%, and the rate has been close to or at the national unemployment rate during 2024 so far.
Persons: Organizations: of Labor Statistics, Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business Locations: Texas . Texas, Texas
Consumers aren't buying it, per the latest monthly survey of how Americans feel about the economy. These charts show how gloomy Americans feel, despite the numbers. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . AdvertisementIndicators be damned: US consumers are still gloomy about the state of the economy. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: , Joanne Hsu Organizations: Consumers, Service, University of Michigan, Business
Many Americans don't know, and it's getting even harder to calculate — especially as Social Security is poised to start reducing benefits in just about a decade. Related stories"That number is all over the place," Copeland said, referring to how much people are going to need in retirement savings. "It will be devastating if people who already are facing very dire retirement prospects get less Social Security than they're planning on. Estimating how much you will need in retirement may be helpful, even long before retirement. That highlights the fact that calculating how much you're going to actually need in retirement is complicated.
Persons: it's, That's, there's, Craig Copeland, Copeland, , William Arnone, Indira Venkateswaran, Greenwald Organizations: Service, Security, Greenwald Research, Business, AARP, Wealth, Research Institute, Social, Social Security, National Academy of Social Insurance Locations: America
That's because, taken together, the two primary Social Security funds are set to only be able to pay out full benefits through 2035; the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance Trust Fund, one of the main funds comprising Social Security, will start getting depleted in 2033. AdvertisementIn other words, the moment that today's older Gen Xers are ready to retire, their Social Security benefits could start to shrink. Gen Xers — born from 1965 to 1980 — have been deemed the country's "neglected middle child" by the Pew Research Center. And among the different generations, Gen Xers were the most likely to report that they were feeling financially insecure. That could set the stage for the new crop of Gen X retirees to arrive in an already-precarious retirement economy.
Persons: , Gen X, Xers, Gen Xers —, YouGov —, Gen Xers, X, Gen Zers, Gen, Michele Raneri, aren't, Xer Organizations: Service, Gen, Social Security, Insurance Trust Fund, Business, Security, Pew Research Center, of Congress, Millennials, TransUnion, Survey, Alliance, Lifetime, Income
In the intervening 33 years, how young adults spent their money changed dramatically. Millennials are spending a lot more on healthcare and rented housingHealth insurance spending stands out between the average young adult in 1989 versus in 2022. Based on average data, young adults were spending roughly 60% more on apartments and other rented housing. Before adjusting 1989 data for inflation, young adults in 2022 spent 304% more on fresh fruits than young adults in 1989. Based on our analysis, the average young adult in 2022 was spending more on nonalcoholic beverages and less on alcoholic beverages than the average young adult in 1989.
Persons: , Harry Met Sally, millennials, Gen Zers, Grace Hill, Gen Organizations: Service, Nintendo Game, Business, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor, BLS, Pew Research Center, CPI, Gallup Locations: Millennials
But some economists have argued that flawed historical economic data puts this claim in question. The further back you go — the NBER data goes to about 1850 — the more common recessions were. He said the NBER's pre-1914 recession data, in particular, is "very poor," and that only economic data collected after World War II is of good quality. "So the growing share of services also means you're going to have more stable economic growth." AdvertisementTo be sure, while a stable economy has its benefits, it's not the only indicator of a healthy economy.
Persons: , they'll, haven't, George Selgin, what's, NBER, Selgin, Joseph H, Davis, Satyam Panday, Panday, it's, they've Organizations: Service, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cato Institute, of Labor Statistics didn't, US, Vanguard, US Department of Agriculture, Satyam, Federal Reserve, Fed
The US unemployment rate remained low in April, but it ticked up. AdvertisementIn the US, the unemployment rate increased from March to April. Plus, job growth in April slowed down a lot, a new labor market report on Friday showed. This job growth for the US was way below the forecast of 238,000 and the first time the initial print has come in below expectations since last October. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers.
Persons: Nonfarm, Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business
Job growth in April was concentrated in traditionally low-paying sectors like healthcare and retail. Wage growth, though slower, still outpaces inflation, which is still a boon for workers. That's because the industries that led job growth in April are traditionally low-paying. Indeed, job growth is concentrated in industries that are historically low-paying — and continue to pay less than the average across private industries. As Pollak notes, "wage growth has come down sharply, but it's mostly come down in industries where it was very rapid before."
Persons: , it's, Jobs, that's, Labor Julie Su, Julia Pollak, It's, Kate Bahn, Insider's Aki Ito, Pollak, ALICE, They're, Nick Bunker, Bunker Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve, Labor, Healthcare, Institute for Women's, North, Business Locations: Bahn, North America
Fewer construction workers means less — and slower — residential construction, which in turn leads to higher home prices, according to a 2023 report from researchers at the University of Utah and the University of Wisconsin-Madison. Builders and infrastructure projects are in desperate need of all kinds of construction workers, but especially skilled tradespeople. Simonson said that allowing more immigrants into the country to fill construction jobs is crucial. Making the industry more appealing to womenBoushey pointed out that the share of women in the overall construction industry has climbed. The construction industry is also at a disadvantage because most workers can't do manual labor until they retire.
Persons: , Ken Simonson, Kit Dickinson, Dickinson, Ben Brubeck, Maja Rosenquist, Mortenson, we've, Simonson, Brubeck, Rosenquist, Joe Biden, Franklin D, Roosevelt, Heather Boushey, Biden, Boushey, she's Organizations: Service, Associated Builders and Contractors, Business, Associated, Contractors of America, University of Utah, University of Wisconsin - Madison, ADP, , Builders, Infrastructure Investment, Jobs, Economic Advisers Locations: president's, America
The Federal Reserve is expected to once again hold interest rates steady on Wednesday. Some predictions also do not forecast any interest rate cuts until the second half of the year. AdvertisementIt's probably still not time for the nation's central bank to cut interest rates just yet. AdvertisementGiven that inflation is still above the Fed's 2% target, it's looking like rate cuts might not come until the second half of 2024. "Inflation has continued to run hot and there is no compelling need for the Fed to cut interest rates until they're comfortable with where inflation is headed."
Persons: Powell, , It's, Julia Pollak, Jerome Powell, Gregory Daco, Greg McBride Organizations: Federal, Service, Fed Locations: Washington
But outside these and other tasks, Echavidre, 45, spends time playing pickleball in California. Other stay-at-home parents could find it helpful to pick up work on the side. Echavidre recommends other stay-at-home parents try to earn money through something they are passionate about if they have time. If you are looking to pick up side work, Echavidre said to look out for what's in demand. He said he especially finds older and retired people are playing pickleball.
Persons: , Antoine Echavidre's, pickleball, Echavidre, Ted Rossman, Rossman, he's Organizations: Service, Sports & Fitness Industry Association, Business, Social, Fitness Locations: California, TeachMe.To, Japan, France
A growing group of America's young people are not in school, not working, or not looking for work. They're called "disconnected youth" or "opportunity youth," and their ranks have been growing for nearly three decades. Experts say it's not just work and school; this group is often also disconnected from a sense of purpose. Palmer added that those with limited access to transportation, people with disabilities, and young parents were also more susceptible. Disconnected young people don't have that luxury."
Persons: , Destiny, She's, she's, They're, Kristen Lewis, Lewis, hadn't, there's, Sen, Tim Kaine, who's, Joseph, he's, hasn't, he'd, Ashley Palmer, Palmer, Sarah Nunley, Nunley, Veronica, There's, Lucchesi, they're Organizations: Service, Business, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Social Science Research Council, Survey, University of Minnesota's, National Center for Education Statistics, Walmart, Texas Christian University, Ivy League Locations: Florida, Alabama, Indiana, Silicon Valley, YOLO, Texas
Americans say they don't have enough money for retirement, with a solid chunk having no savings at all. At the same time, the economy is about to see the "peak boomer" generation retire and deplete their savings. Tourangeau is part of a generation of older Americans who don't feel confident in their financial situation. Any of those who leave the workforce to retire may need to rely on any retirement savings they have built. AdvertisementAre you a peak boomer or older American worried you won't have enough money for retirement?
Persons: , Pam Tourangeau, let's, it's, Indira Venkateswaran, Venkateswaran, Nancy LeaMond, LeaMond Organizations: Service, Congressional Research Service, AARP, Research, Savings, Americans, Federal Reserve, University of Michigan Health, Alliance, Lifetime, Security, Social Security Locations: America
NEW LOOK Sign up to get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in markets, tech, and business — delivered daily. download the app Email address Sign up By clicking “Sign Up”, you accept our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy . In today's big story, we're looking at how the latest GDP data has shifted the expectations of where the economy is headed. Now, the economy will need some type of event (see: bubble popping) for rate cuts to become an option anytime soon, Miskin said. Energy price shocks could bring the world economy to a "vulnerable moment," chief economist Indermit Gill warned.
Persons: , TikTok, they're, you'd, Jia Feng, It'll, Insider's Madison Hoff, It's, Jerome Powell, Anna Moneymaker, BI's Filip De Mott, Jamie Dimon, Matt Miskin, Miskin, Mark Zuckerberg, C, Cox, Jenny Chang, Rodriguez, Goldman Sachs, Guess what's, Indermit Gill, Alphabet's, Redmond, Tyler Le, Doug McMillon, execs, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover Organizations: Business, Service, Reserve, stagflation, JPMorgan, Wall Street, John Hancock Investment Management, Galatioto Sports Partners, Bank, Google, Big Tech, Microsoft, Health, Linkedin, YouTube, ExxonMobil Locations: Chevron, New York, London
US real GDP rose at an annualized rate of 1.6% in the first quarter. While a slowdown was expected for the first quarter, the forecast was 2.5%. AdvertisementAmid US job growth above forecasts and accelerating inflation, the US economy in the first quarter of this year slowed more than expected. A news release from the Bureau of Economic Analysis out Thursday showed US real gross domestic product rose at an annualized rate of 1.6%. "Looking ahead, we see the economy gently cooling as slower labor demand, easing wage growth, stubborn inflation, and tight credit conditions constrain private sector activity," Daco said.
Persons: , Gregory Daco, EY, Daco Organizations: Service Locations: That's
BI looked at employment projections and median annual wages to create a ranking of similar jobs. 5 on this list of high-paying and fast-growing jobs. AdvertisementSpoiler alert: Software developers tops Business Insider's list of the top 20 high-paying and fast-growing jobs in the US. To get the top 20 job titles, Business Insider looked at jobs projected to see employment increase between 2022 and 2032 and had median annual wages greater than the median annual wage for all jobs in the US, which was $48,060. AdvertisementWe only looked at jobs with specific annual wage estimates.
Persons: Organizations: Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics
Rose Almond is a fully self-employed freelance engineer after resigning from her office job in 2015. She has also done freelance work through Upwork. Her total revenue from her self-employed work in 2023 was around 65,400 Canadian dollars, or over $47,500. Almond has found that "the lack of face-to-face interaction" that comes with freelance work can sometimes get lonely. Freelance work has now given Almond a chance to explore another work goal.
Persons: Rose Almond, Almond, , they've Organizations: Service, Fiverr, Business, Almond Locations: Canada, Upwork, Fiverr
Read previewLinkedIn released its annual US list of the best big employers for career growth this week, and JPMorgan Chase & Co. ranked No. A few kinds of employers emerge among LinkedIn's top 15 large companies for US career growth including financial-services giants like JPMorgan and Wells Fargo, telecom companies AT&T and Verizon, and the Big Four accounting firms Deloitte and PwC. This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. "This year's honorees are proving that investment in the employee experience is vital in today's workplaces," the report said. "Our methodology uses LinkedIn data to rank companies based on eight pillars that have been shown to lead to career progression," the report said.
Persons: , Wells, it's, Nick Bunker Organizations: Service, JPMorgan Chase &, JPMorgan, AT, Verizon, Big, Deloitte, PwC, Business, North America Locations: Wells Fargo
The top 14 cities in the US people are fleeing
  + stars: | 2024-04-15 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +2 min
1 for its negative net domestic migration rate per 1,000 people. Business Insider looked at negative net domestic migration estimates for US metropolitan statistical areas for the period of July 1, 2022, to June 30, 2023. Negative net domestic migration means they had more people fleeing these metropolitan statistical areas for another US location than people in the US moving in. Six of the 14 metros that had the biggest negative net domestic migration rates per 1,000 people were California metros. Below are the top cities people are fleeing based on net domestic migration rates per 1,000 people.
Persons: Organizations: New Orleans, Service, Golden State, Business, metros, Fremont — Locations: California, Golden, New York City, Los Angeles, Long, Anaheim , California, Chicago, Naperville, Elgin , Illinois, Indiana, San Jose, Sunnyvale, Santa Clara, San Francisco, Oakland, Anaheim, Orleans, Metairie , Louisiana
Moving away from a major city, Moretti found, can be terrible for your career. The market for WFH jobs has cratered, putting everyone who moved away from big cities at risk. Those who moved away from big cities effectively gave up their career insurance. In a big city, you also run into people who work for other companies in your industry — on the bus, at the bar, in line at the deli. "The benefits of being a big city," Moretti tells me, "have been underappreciated" during the pandemic.
Persons: I've, , We've, Enrico Moretti, Moretti, Des Moines, they'll, they're overqualified, That's, Madison Hoff, Aki Ito Organizations: Franciscan, Census, University of California, Business Locations: New York, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Seattle, America's, Berkeley, Paris, Des, Iowa, California, Sacramento, Bay
Business Insider looked at how components of the labor market have settled down, like wage growth. And that more boring but steady labor market could be great news for workers and job seekers. The US could be in a Goldilocks job market. Job switchers are seeing higher wage growth than people staying, according to the 12-month moving average of median wage growth from the Atlanta Fed's Wage Growth Tracker. So what will happen to the Goldilocks job market?
Persons: Nick Bunker, Bunker, , That's, Julia Pollak, ZipRecruiter's, " Pollak, Pollak, Job, Julie Su, switchers, Eugenio Alemán, Raymond James, Juliana Kaplan Organizations: Service, North America, BLS Locations: Atlanta
Inflation came in hotter than expected in March
  + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +2 min
March's year-over-year increase was forecasted to be a higher rate than February's rate. The forecast for March's year-over-year increase in the CPI was 3.4%, a higher rate than the 3.2% increase or the 3.1% increase in February or January respectively. The rate came in above the forecast and was higher than February's year-over-year change. CPI increased 0.4% in March from the preceding month — same as the 0.4% surge in February. AdvertisementAverage hourly earnings increased 4.1% year over year to $34.69 an hour in March, which fell short of the 4.3% year-over-year increase in February.
Persons: , That's, Julia Pollak, Pollak Organizations: Consumer, Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business Locations: March's, That's
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